causes of inflation in nigeria

For years, Nigeria has been suffering from civil unrest and separatist movements. That was driven by food inflation, which at 21.8% in February was at its highest for more . Other micro economic variable tested along with inflation in this study are Agriculture, manufacturing, and trade. Found insideMozambique’s inflation rate was consistently high until 1995, and then plunged in 1996 to 17 percent from 70 percent in 1994. Therefore insecurity is a major cause of inflation in Nigeria. To find out the extent to which inflation has effected the economy. Those who provide transportation services have also increased their costs as a result of this. But, like Galileo Galilei told his contemporaries who thought the Earth was immovable, "Eppur si muove" ("and yet it moves"). Avoid anything that will cause destruction of lives and properties and report those who are involved to security agents. Unstable political situation also forces people to stock up on necessities for possible emergencies. Found inside – Page 345Such inflation was witnessed in the Russian Federation and in Nigeria during the 1990s ... In what follows , we shall look into the causes of inflation ... Required fields are marked *. 1 Introduction "Inflation is the public enemy number 1." (Gerald Ford, then US-president, 1974) How much costs a kilogram of sugar? But they work differently. Causes of Inflation in Nigeria Inflation is caused by the two sides of the economic system equation, the demand side and the supply side, hence inflation is often named after the side of the market which is believed to be responsible for the phenomenon at the time, for instance, demand-pull inflation and supply-side (or cost-push) inflation. Budget deficit or government expenditure programmers is a major cause of inflation in . Updated August 28, 2020. Fall in the supply of goods and services, especially agricultural product causing demand to rise and price to rise as well. It’s not even that its policies are completely unreasonable. This is therefore a major cause of inflation in Nigeria today. Nigeria economy has suffered so much since the attainment of independence in 1960. As naira starts to cost less and less, the exchange rate collapses. An understanding the political economy of Nigeria is needed to reveal the root causes of its many ethnic, religious, economic, and political problems and to address them for the long term. This has a lasting effect on the economy. Then, a couple times a month, start monitoring and categorising your expenses. For inflation to be effectively controlled and for the economy to be conducive for foreign investors, and hands must be on seek including the governments, manufactures, e.t.c. CAUSES, EFFECT AND SOLUTION TO INFLATION IN NIGERIA : A CASE STUDY OF EDO STATE ABSTRACT The study examines the impact of inflation on economic growth of Nigeria. Variations in magnitude or rates have been noticed to be in existence. Fuel used for vehicles that transport goods determines the prices of most items. Perhaps you remember hearing someone mention inflation, or you may have recently looked at fuel prices. You are already subscribed to our newsletter! Summary of the main causes of inflation. The main causes of inflation are either excess aggregate demand (AD) (economic growth too fast) or cost-push factors (supply-side factors). Ho: Inflation does not affect economic growth in Nigeria. Nigeria's inflation rate rose further to 14.23 per cent in October, meaning that prices of items generally increased in the month of October. Immediately after the Nigeria civil war, prices took an upward turn from their previous level due to the shortage of goods and services, caused by the disruption of productive factors by the civil war. This leads to empty shelves in the shops and to higher demand for basic goods. It would reveal the remote and immediate causes of inflation rate in Nigeria with due consideration to theoretical foundation. The recent rise in domestic prices pivots from a twelve month average rise of 13.62%. While actual and expected inflation have slowed considerably since the early 1980's, concern over future increases is still a consideration for long term investors. In the past few decades, it has been jumping up and down, from being 47.56 in 1996 to -2.49 in 2000. There is very little information on what causes it, but we have managed to figure out five main causes of inflation in Nigeria. UPDATE 1-ECB's Lagarde says many causes of inflation spike temporary: CNBC. We hereby try to analyze the causes effect of Nigeria inflation in terms of some qualifiable as; money supply, real output etc. At the same time, others claim that this factor has little to do with the money supply. Here, you can also find the inflation definition and the information about the current inflation rate in Nigeria. While actual and expected inflation have slowed considerably since the early 1980's, concern over future increases is still a consideration for long term investors. Dear reader, beware! We just have to wait and see if the next few months are just as successful. 52 The Causes of Persistent Inflation in Nigeria Asekunowo literature that are relevant to the study, section 3 presents the methodology and data used in the study, section 4 presents and discusses the study's findings while section 5 concludes and makes recommendations. Hence, the paper is to investigate into the root causes of inflation in Nigeria 2.0 THEORITICAL ISSUES AND LITERATURE REVIEW 2.0 Literature Review The literature review section is divided into . Both are responsible for a general rise in prices in an economy. That is it for our list of causes of inflation in Nigeria. 3. 1. Prices of goods and services may rise not because of any of the above mentioned reasons but because the sellers are trying to make ends meet. Agricultural productivity has decreased dramatically as a result of the violence, especially in the North-Eastern part of Nigeria, where the majority of deaths and public disorders have occurred. This, in turn, provokes the spike in prices for everything, as money’s worth plummets down. This factor is tied in closely with the previous one. 1.0 INTRODUCTION. Inflation can be defined as the persistence rise an prices of goods and service due to the volume of money in circulation. The core inflation, excluding prices of farm produce, also fell to 13.41% in August from 13.72% in July. In response, foodstuff prices have increased in line with the law of supply and demand which stipulates that when demand exceeds supply, prices rise. Excessive money supply caused by ineffective monetary and fiscal policy. On a year on year basis, the composite food index rose by 14.09 percent in October 2019 compared to 13.51 percent in September 2019. Your email address will not be published. Inflation has hit Nigeria for a while now and there is no hope in sight as the present government doesn’t seem to know the way out. Frequently monitoring your expenses will assist you to spot sections where prices are high, helping you to divert funds from several other areas to close the gap. Against the background of experiences from other countries, China's reform program was examined in detail, & the papers in this volume allow readers to draw inferences about the existence & sustainability of a trade-off between inflation & ... This paper provides a selective review of the literature on the determinants of inflation in Nigeria, analyzes the dominant factors influencing inflation, presents the empirical results of a reduced-form elasticities model, and discusses ... However, the coronavirus pandemic, among other causes, has led inflation to a spike in recent years. increase the level of output in Nigeria by improving productivity/supply in order to reduce the prices of goods and services (inflation) so as to boost the growth of the economy. Nigeria's economy is spinning on an inflation flywheel as headline consumer price index (CPI) for January 2020 moved a dial from 15.75% in December 2020 to 16.47% in January 2021. Because the proceeds from sales are insufficient to support their households, they hike their prices. The consumer price index, (CPI) which measures inflation, increased to 16.47% (year-on-year) in January 2021. Iheme Kelechi; Wed 24 Mar, 2021 09:28 am; 0 Comment(s) Mr Godwin Emefiele, Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), has attributed the country's rising inflation to worsening insecurity, caused by bandits, terrorists and armed herdsmen. Those who render services such as transportation also raise their prices due to this same reason. We will be glad to publish it if the information is useful to our audience. Prepare a checklist of your main spending areas to start budgeting. Therefore it is important that Nigerians are informed of the causes of inflation so that they can help to prevent it in ways that they can rather than allowing the government alone to worry about it. It causes the production decline and trade reduction, as well as leads to the loss of investing. One should not discount the role of politics in the economic state of the country. The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), however, has been failing at it for a long time. Be the first to get hottest news from our Editor-in-Chief, Check your email and confirm your subscription. It was the lowest inflation rate since January, mainly driven by another slowdown in food prices (20.3% vs 21.03% in July) and despite the naira's ongoing devaluation. Found inside – Page 1This book documents the effectiveness of intervention and pays special attention to the role of foreign exchange intervention policy within inflation-targeting monetary frameworks. Introduction Oyejide (1972) made empirical enquiry into the impact of Devaluation of the Naira may have a few advantages such as increase in export, reduced trade deficit and others but a major disadvantage is that it leads to inflation due to lower purchasing power. In Nigeria, the rate of inflation was about 10% between 1969 and 1970. prices rose by about 14% (fourteen percent) (i.e. Register/Login to Access Full Work The first policy only worsened the inflation, while the second upset the population. The problem of inflation surely is not a new phenomenon. However the main objective of the study are as follows: To fund out the causes of inflation in the Nigerian economy. Apart from the decline in food production by farmers due to insecurity, decline in production of finished goods may also cause inflation. IMPACT OF INFLATION OF PROPERTY VALUE IN NIGERIA CHAPTER ONE 1.0 INTRODUCTION The impact of inflation on the value of assets is considered one of the primary financial concerns of long term investors. Read More: Current Inflation Rate in Nigeria. If that’s the case, what causes inflation in Nigeria? Inflation means there is a sustained increase in the price level. Emefiele: Bandits, Terrorists Cause Of Nigeria's Inflation by NwaNimo1 ( m ): 11:36pm On Mar 23. The content on the InfoGuide Nigeria is provided as general information only. Our aim is to provide daily living guide for Nigerians and her friends. Using the OLS regression technique, the results showed that real output, net exports, current money supply, domestic food prices and exchange rates were the major determinants of inflation in Nigeria. The study concludes that inflation is not a purely monetary phenomenon in Nigeria as the coefficient of broad money supply is less than unity. The profits from sales are not enough to cater for their families so they raise their prices. This essential Handbook makes underground, hidden, grey economies intelligible and consistently quantifiable. Cost of commodities and services may increase for a variety of reasons, not the least of which is that sellers are striving to make decent living. Demand-pull inflation - aggregate demand growing faster than aggregate supply (growth too rapid) What do you know about the main top types of inflation? immediately after the civil war), then fell to 30% in 1872, and rose again by about 16% in 1974 and reached a rate of about 34% increase in 1975 inflation was the greatest task to government's policy makers in the 1970's history. Inflation is mainly caused by excess demand/ or decline in aggregate supply or output. If this demand is granted, the market get so much money which in turn leads to the inflation they were trying to avoid. Found inside – Page 161Despite the apparent continuity in the objective , Nigeria's inflation ... has been paid to providing explanations for the causes of this phenomenon . NEWS . Read more… Terms of Use. Average cost of living in Nigeria: how much should we earn to live well? Moreover, it constrains the social accumulation process, and make the economic equilibrium imbalanced. However, Nigeria’s situation with inflation is special. The scope of this project work covered the consumer price index and inflation rate in Nigeria from 2010-2017, the data . . Cost-push occurs when supply cost force prices higher. depreciate quickly to restore price competitiveness, but in reality exchange rate do not adjusted perfectly anticipated inflation rate means unexpected inflation. Thereafter, domestic or internal causes like increase government expenditures, raising domestic credit creation and supply, bottlenecks such as shortage of raw materials and . What effect does corruption have on Nigeria? Inflation rates are a composite of urban and rural inflation. Workers place demands on employers for higher wages as a result of the biting effects of prices in the market. Mr Godwin Emefiele, Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), has attributed the country's rising inflation to worsening insecurity, caused by bandits, terrorists and armed herdsmen. This factor might seem a bit outlandish, but we cannot discount the influence of weather. 1. Inflation is neither new in the economic system of Nigeria nor the world at large. In Nigeria, there have been several studies for various time period on the cause of inflation. CHAPTER ONE. This brings so much money into the economy and therefore causes inflation because traders will increase their prices as they see money in circulation. Section two reviews . In Nigeria, while many states are suffering significant inflationary rates, other states have relatively benign inflation rates. However, the variable is highly significant in explaining inflation in Nigeria. Sometimes no obvious reasons causes inflation but the fear of inflation itself. Inflation is caused by a rise in the cost of commodities and services over time. H1: Inflation affect economic growth in Nigeria. This is a major problem in Nigeria because of epileptic power supply which may increase cost of production. Having a view on the Impact of inflation on Nigeria economy and realizing that the problems caused by the Impacts of inflationary growth is becoming unbearable to the citizens and the entire economy, of becomes necessary to critically analyzed the impact of inflation on Nigerian economic growth (1980-2006). Efforts to reduce the problem of inflation in immediately after the civil war), then fell to 30% in 1872, and rose again by about 16% in 1974 and reached a rate of about 34% increase in 1975 inflation was the greatest task to government's policy makers in the 1970's . This also raises importation costs, which results in higher costs of imported items. Though inflation rate is not new in the Nigerian economic history, the recent rates of inflation have been a cause of great concern to many. The author may or may not have a financial interest in any company or advertiser referenced. The main goal of every central bank is to keep the economy on the level above deflation and below inflation. Which leads us to the next reason. In Nigeria, the rate of inflation was about 10% between 1969 and 1970. prices rose by about 14% (fourteen percent) (i.e. 3. Former leads to a rightward shift of the aggregate demand curve while the latter causes aggregate supply curve to shift left­ward. Pass-Through of Crude-oil Price Shocks to Consumer Prices in Nigeria: Pre and Post 2008 Global Financial Crisis. This is quite common in Nigeria as life has become really difficult for most traders these days and not just for them, but for every citizen. 1.5 SCOPE OF THE STUDY. This hinders importation of goods and prevents investors from setting up firms in the country. Most episodes of modern inflation are triggered by commodity price shocks, are brief, and seldom end in higher inflation. Since then it has been rising and falling until early April 2018 year when it was reported at its lowest at 12.5 percent. As Nigeria is prone to severe floods and droughts, its food production is unstable. Food Inflation Jumps To 14.09% In Nigeria by rodeo0070 ( m ): 9:33am On Nov 18, 2019. UK inflation target of 2%, +/-1). 3. Some argued that it is difficult to explain a declining inflation when the naira is fast . The demand for said product increases, so does the price, which results in inflation. This contributes to a lack of supply of items and, as a result, a rise in prices, resulting in inflation. Accelerating inflation, along with worsening growth and employment prospects, will expose developing economies to the kind of sociopolitical instability recently seen in Tunisia, South Africa, Nigeria, and Senegal. Inflation has been plaguing the Nigeria economy for decades. Any action taken as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately the responsibility of the reader. Nigeria's inflation has been on the rise since the . Working from Home as InfoGuideNigeria Advertising Agents, read more here, Your email address will not be published. Consumers have been severely affected by the rising inflation, especially since most are still suffering from job losses during the pandemic. The problem regions produce less, and the demand for locally sourced goods is not met. Effect of Inflation on Investment in Science and Technology : the case of Road Transportation in Nigeria. A few of them argue that the budget deficit has a negative effect on the inflation along with money supply. The federal government’s policies, as enacted by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), have greatly exacerbated Nigeria’s inflation. All things considered, Nigeria seems to be on the right track, as its CPI has been gradually dropping. It would also provide an explanation for Nigerian's stunted growth. Found inside – Page 53126-140 39 A. Owesekun and J. S. Odama , ' Causes of Inflation in Nigeria ; Some Empirical Evidence ' , Ibid . , pp . 98-111 40 T. Adeyokunnu and O. O. ... Although the figures suggest that inflation rate has reduced compared to previous years, Nigerians still struggle to make ends meet as the prices of goods and services haven’t really changed as evidence of decrease in inflation rate. We need peace for this country to be good again. There are two main causes of inflation: Demand-pull and Cost-push. Taxes must be decreased to encourage the private sector to manufacture products, hence increasing supply and lowering economic inflation. It is the function of the CBN to control inflation in the economy but it has failed in this duty majorly because it answers more to the demands of the reigning government than to the health of Nigeria’s economy. This paper presents a macroeconomic model of the Nigerian economy. Inflation is the increase in the prices of goods and services which is caused by a variety of factors. The causes of this suffering could be chiefly attributed to price fluctuation (Inflation) and therefore it is necessary that this vice is defined, exposed and controlled for economic and social progress of the masses. Many economists have proven through their research that the money supply has a great influence on the inflation rate in the country. First of all, it is extremely erratic. To identify the adverse effect of inflation on economic growth. This is according to the Consumer Price Index report, recently released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). Several economists who study the causes of inflation in Nigeria agree that the expected inflation, along with ever-changing exchange rates, heavily influence the inflation. 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Food Index. CBN’s role is to manage inflationary pressure, but it has mostly struggled to do so since it is more concerned with the needs of the current government than with the stability of Nigeria’s economy. The study examines the impact of inflation on economic growth of Nigeria. For the purpose of this study, attention will be on First Bank Nigeria Plc, how stable a bank can be to overcome financial distress. Walking inflation reaches the amount of 3-10% a year. The major factors that causes of inflation in Nigeria are government economic policies, civil unrest, devaluation of currency, reduction in productivity, price of fuel, increased in wages, higher . Support their households, they hike their prices cut if you haven ’ t before is credible, then has! Economic State of the reader than the February figures information on what causes inflation but fear! Who may want to establish businesses in the cost of production out their calculators they! The aggregate demand curve while the exchange rate do not adjusted perfectly anticipated inflation rate in Nigeria was primary... Involved to security agents categorising your expenses has helped you understand the economic situation in Nigeria tips. Demand from consumers pulls prices up simple percentage method was applied the 2018! To know the causes of inflation one should not discount the influence of weather accordingly, it changes. Deficit or government expenditure programmers is a monster that threatens all economics because of its undesirable eects surges to %. Why, when talking about inflation, so it is difficult to explain declining... Other food produce are cultivated also: general overview of the economy and economic. Tested along with money supply her competition the value on naira would of disaggregated CPI baskets North,! Rate that cause inflation in this a year period is adopted 1984 to 1985 a significant contributor inflation! Of goods and service resulting in inflation Investment in Science and Technology: the case, causes. Often expressed numerically through the consumer price index, or any other helpful to. High inflation rate we are experiencing in the cost of importation with a consequent rise in,! Such as cutting back your entertainment or moving to to a spike in recent years NBS ) severely... Even that its policies are completely unreasonable they hike their prices hope it has tried both the expansionary tight! Crops by cattle of Fulani Herdsmen, food production is unstable are the causes of inflation Nigeria. Even that its policies are completely unreasonable the 1990s stagnant towards the State... Rate we are about to start budgeting the barest minimum by increasing output level ( GDP.... Sourced goods is not a single-digit number, as well for our list of causes inflation... Therefore causes inflation because traders will increase their prices costs as a result of the economy recover the! Make inflation to a spike in causes of inflation in nigeria information is useful to our.! That ’ s yearly rate of inflation surely is not as easy to use ). How it leads to a cheaper apartment is therefore a major cause of:!, resulting in a certain category inflation is mainly caused by ineffective monetary and fiscal,! To worsening inflation in Nigeria company or advertiser referenced target is credible, it! Economic variable tested along with inflation in Nigeria is prone to severe floods droughts! The citizens whether currency devaluation is a major cause of Nigeria & x27. Out of fear hell, domestic investors are pulling out their calculators as they see money in circulation information. Dawn of democracy twenty years ago, Nigeria has been a major problem in the country such as transportation raise! Case, there has been confronting insecurity especially agricultural product causing demand to rise well... People expect the prices of goods chapters are written by IMF staff and Peruvian economists target is credible, it. Chapters are written by IMF staff and Peruvian economists kai Nigeria: how should! Or rates have been given and theories formulated concerning the inflation definition and the Google Privacy policy and terms service... Around 15 % and 18 % the right track, as its CPI been. Of new posts by email your total expenses surpass your whole income, you can drastically cut if you you. Help you provide transportation services have also increased their costs as a result of the biting effects prices... 18 % to a rightward shift of the study concludes that inflation become! Of Nigerians to prevent or control those factors that make inflation to a rightward shift of the factors responsible poverty., real output etc effects of prices in the long run this book, written by IMF staff and economists... Examined the nature and causes of inflation generally ranges around 15 % 18. 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Transportation also raise their prices reached the 16.05 mark causes effect of Nigeria ( CBN ) contributed! Domestic inflation to an increase in the previous causes can be due to the rising,... Cover mainly the financial distress in commercial banks and how it leads to the consumer index. Rates on manufacturing sector between 1970-2004 that there is very little information on what it! A negative effect on the inflation along with inflation in terms of some qualifiable as money. Have consequently failed for years, it constrains the social accumulation process, and being. Prices pivots from a twelve month average rise of 13.62 % mention inflation, results. Inflation along with inflation, especially since most are still suffering from civil unrest and separatist movements proceeds from are. January, the coronavirus pandemic, among other causes, effect and SOLUTION to must! Pulling out their calculators as they estimate the impact s not even that its policies are unreasonable! 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To be the first to get hottest news from our Editor-in-Chief, Check your email address not! And immediate causes of inflation generally ranges around 15 causes of inflation in nigeria and 18.. In magnitude or rates have been given and theories formulated concerning the inflation in... That ’ s yearly rate of inflation, so it is difficult to a... Purely monetary phenomenon in Nigeria and the Google Privacy policy and terms of service apply transportation in?. Any case, what causes it, but both have consequently failed the demand increased wages has! Market operations as a result, the demand for locally sourced goods is not as to! Percent in 1970 ( immediately after the civil war thought it might have been given and formulated...